While the economy continues to produce positive headlines, bullish sentiment among investors retreated slightly from Q1 peaks.
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- Bullish sentiment is at 63 percent, decreasing two percentage points from Q1’17 highs.
- Slightly more than half of investors believe the market will rise five percent or more this quarter, down five percentage points from Q1’17.
- Investors remain most likely to choose “Easy Rider” as the movie title that best describes their views of the market.
- More than three out of five investors continue to believe the
U.S. economy is healthy enough for additional rate hikes this quarter, down one percentage point from the previous quarter.
“In this sustained bull market, a pullback or correction is never out of the question,” commented
The survey also explored where investors feel potential investment opportunities may be this quarter.
- International equities. Talk of the
Trump Trade (i.e., bullish trades in sectors that stand to benefit fromPresident Trump’s proposed policies) has dominatedU.S. markets, but investors appear to be turning their gaze to international equities. While investors still favor domestic markets, interest in both developed international and emerging markets rose this quarter amid attractive valuations and uncertainty in theU.S. - Information technology. Investor interest in information technology surged 12 percentage points from the previous quarter, and is now the sector that investors believe offers the most potential this quarter. While IT performance struggled in the aftermath of the election, market observers are pointing to strong fundamentals and robust consumer demand.
- Energy. While the energy sector started the year as one of the worst performing sectors, its recent resurgence has investors taking note, amid a tightening of international supplies and profit growth expectations ahead of earnings. Although interest in the sector declined from Q1, surveyed investors still believe it offers potential this quarter.
For useful trading and investing insights from
About the Survey
This wave of the survey was conducted from
|
Referenced Data |
||||||
| When it comes to the current market are you? | ||||||
| Q2’17 | Q1’17 | Q4’16 | Q3’16 | Q2’16 | ||
| Bullish | 63% | 65% | 55% | 55% | 61% | |
| Bearish | 37% | 35% | 45% | 45% | 39% | |
|
If you had to pick a movie title that best describes how you personally feel about the market right now, which would it be? |
||||||
| Q2’17 | Q1’17 | Q4’16 | Q3’16 | Q2’16 | ||
| |
25% | 23% | 26% | 17% | 20% | |
| Dazed and Confused | 19% | 21% | 30% | 40% | 31% | |
| Singin’ in the Rain | 18% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 13% | |
| Raging Bull | 15% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 6% | |
| Pulp Fiction | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | |
| Jackass | 7% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | |
| Fear and Loathing in |
4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | |
| Apocalypse Now | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | |
| How do you predict the market will end this quarter?
(Question asked beginning in Q1’16) |
||||||
| Q2’17 | Q1’17 | Q4’16 | Q3’16 | Q2’16 | ||
| Rise | 55% | 60% | 54% | 41% | 59% | |
| Rise 20% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| Rise 15% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
| Rise 10% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 9% | |
| Rise 5% | 38% | 43% | 44% | 34% | 47% | |
| Stay basically where it is | 23% | 18% | 22% | 28% | 21% | |
| Drop 5% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 24% | 16% | |
| Drop 10% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | |
| Drop 15% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | |
| Drop 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Drop | 22% | 22% | 24% | 31% | 20% | |
| Is the |
||||||
| Q2’17 | Q1’17 | Q4’16 | Q3’16 | Q2’16 | ||
| Agree (Top 2 Box) | 62% | 63% | 53% | 33% | 41% | |
| Strongly agree | 16% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 9% | |
| Somewhat agree | 46% | 48% | 41% | 27% | 32% | |
| Neither agree nor disagree | 26% | 23% | 27% | 30% | 29% | |
| Somewhat disagree | 10% | 12% | 15% | 28% | 20% | |
| Strongly disagree | 2% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 10% | |
| Disagree (Bottom 2 Box) | 12% | 14% | 20% | 37% | 30% | |
| The health of the markets outside the |
||||||
| Q2’17 | Q1’17 | Q4’16 | Q3’16 | Q2’16 | ||
| Agree (Top 2 Box) | 50% | 43% | 40% | 33% | 44% | |
| Strongly agree | 12% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 11% | |
| Somewhat agree | 38% | 33% | 28% | 25% | 33% | |
| Neither agree nor disagree | 29% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 21% | |
| Somewhat disagree | 16% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 26% | |
| Strongly disagree | 5% | 5% | 7% | 15% | 9% | |
| Disagree (Bottom 2 Box) | 21% | 29% | 32% | 46% | 35% | |
| I am more likely to invest abroad than domestically this quarter | ||||||
| Q2’17 | Q1’17 | Q4’16 | Q3’16 | Q2’16 | ||
| Agree (Top 2 Box) | 29% | 26% | 27% | 18% | 19% | |
| Strongly agree | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 7% | |
| Somewhat agree | 22% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 12% | |
| Neither agree nor disagree | 26% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 24% | |
| Somewhat disagree | 31% | 33% | 32% | 36% | 35% | |
| Strongly disagree | 14% | 15% | 16% | 23% | 22% | |
| Disagree (Bottom 2 Box) | 45% | 48% | 48% | 59% | 57% | |
| What industries do you think offer the most potential this quarter? (Top three) | ||||||
| Q2’17 | Q1’17 | Q4’16 | Q3’16 | Q2’16 | ||
| Information technology | 46% | 34% | 50% | 44% | 51% | |
| Energy | 45% | 53% | 46% | 43% | 48% | |
| Financials | 39% | 46% | 32% | 25% | 29% | |
| Health care | 39% | 42% | 45% | 54% | 56% | |
| Industrials | 28% | 29% | 17% | 16% | 19% | |
| Telecommunication services | 24% | 19% | 27% | 26% | 24% | |
| Utilities | 23% | 22% | 25% | 31% | 17% | |
| Consumer staples | 20% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 27% | |
| Materials | 20% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 14% | |
| Consumer discretionary | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 17% | |
About
The information provided herein is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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