Will Stocks Continue Their Rally?

The S&P 500 index got back above the 4,700 level on Friday after gaining almost 1%. The only way is up now?

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The S&P 500 index broke above the 4,700 level on Friday, as it gained 0.95%. The market retraced most of its recent declines and it closed the highest in history. On the previous Friday the index fell to the local low of 4,495.12 and it was 5.24% below the Nov. 22 record high of 4,743.83. So bulls are back in full force now and we may see another attempt at getting back to the new all-time high. Today the broad stock market index is expected to open 0.2% higher, however it retraced most of its overnight advance.

The nearest important resistance level remains at 4,740-4,750, marked by the record high, among others. On the other hand, the support level is now at around 4,665-4,670, marked by the recent local lows. The next support level remains at 4,610-4,630, marked by the last Tuesday’s daily gap up of 4,612.60-4,631.97. The S&P 500 is still at its previous consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

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Nasdaq 100 Remains Close to the 16,400 Level

Let’s take a look at the Nasdaq 100 chart. The technology index got back to the 16,400 level last week. It is the nearest important resistance level, marked by some previous local highs. Tech stocks remain relatively weaker, as the Nasdaq 100 is still well below the Nov. 22 record high of 16,764.85.

Conclusion

The S&P 500 index will likely slightly extend its last week’s advances this morning. However we may see a short-term profit-taking action at some point. There have been no confirmed short-term negative signals so far, and we may see an attempt at getting back to the late November record high.

Here’s the breakdown:

• The S&P 500 is expected to open slightly higher this morning but we may see a consolidation above the 4,700 level.
• Our short-position is very close a stop-loss level, and we’ll close it if it breaks above it again.

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Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,

Stock Trading Strategist

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The information above represents analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak & Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be subject to change without notice. At the time of writing, we base our opinions and analyses on facts and data sourced from respective essays and their authors. Although formed on top of careful research and reputably accurate sources, Paul Rejczak and his associates cannot guarantee the reported data’s accuracy and thoroughness. The opinions published above neither recommend nor offer any securities transaction. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading his reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees, affiliates as well as their family members may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Updated on Dec 13, 2021, 10:15 am

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